On June 9, former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci also announced a run, later being followed up by former state representative Ron Hood. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Former Mayor Nan Whaley of Dayton has won the Democratic primary for Ohio governor. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. Vance Wins Republican Senate Primary in Ohio", "Next up in Ohio: Can Mike DeWine, Rob Portman and other GOP incumbents sweep anew in '22? Nov. 9, 2022, John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and US Senate. * Incumbent Election 2020 Calendar. On the Republican side, the only other independent survey was a Trafalgar Group poll with a 3-point error margin that put DeWine ahead 41% to Renaccis 23% and Blystones 20%. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. COVID . The last time a. The Emerson poll, however, showed more Republican primary voters are currently undecided than voting for DeWine, which Holloway said is unusual when an incumbent governor is running. Ohioans are split down the middle when it comes to selecting a new senator, but one thing remains clear: DeWine, first elected to the role in 2018, is overwhelmingly favored to return to office. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Maggie Astor Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. Tony Evers won a second term as governor of Wisconsin, giving Democrats a foothold in a critical presidential battleground. Ohio has open primaries, which means voters can pick the party primary they vote in. Incumbent Governor Mike DeWine faced backlash from Republicans due to having implemented strict COVID-19 restrictions, such as a statewide stay at home order and mask mandates. 31 mil. The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. Mandela Barnes, delivering a critical victory for Republicans. Nov. 17, 2022, The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. Each area's quota and demographic information . This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23. She'll face a steep uphill climb in the general election against Gov. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Mike DeWine Wins Ohio Gubernatorial Race Nitesh Singh November 9, 2022 Election Day Updates Current Vote Share Mike DeWine: 56% Nan Whaley: 44% Exit Poll Update Men: DeWine 62%, Whaley 37% Women: DeWine 55%, Whaley 44% DeWine is outperforming JD Vance (R) by 7 points among Men and 9 points among Women Follow our live analysis and the latest updates. Click on a participant to pop-up their full list of quotations. Interviews conducted September 12th through September 15th, 2022, n=1,200 MOE +/- 3.6 percentage points. The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. . The primary was scheduled for May 3, 2022. RepublicanMike DeWine DemocraticNan Whaley Latest 2022 Gubernatorial polls The chart below shows the historical percentage of voters who have pledged to vote for each candidate in the 2022 Ohio Gubernatorial election. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. Where those independent voters decide to vote, Holloway said, is very important.. These mirages show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. Mike DeWine fought off challenges from the right, but was still held below 50 percent of the vote. GOP Gov. Mike DeWine, who took a 20-point lead over his Democratic challenger, former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Nov. 9, 2022, The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. . Maggie Astor Biden Job Approval. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. Rep. Ted Budd of North Carolina, a Trump-backed conservative, beat Cheri Beasley, a Democrat, to capture retiring Senator Richard Burr's seat. Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Biden Job Approval in All 50 States. Ohio has rapidly turned right as Democrats have lost votes in their working-class strongholds in North West Ohio, especially in Mahoning and Trumbull counties. The Columbus Dispatch. I dont think that either Whaley or Cranley are well-known to voters, Ohio State University political science professor emeritus Paul Beck said. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. Hes outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. The Associated Press has not called New Yorks race for governor but Gov. Redistricting will change everything. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. Will Shiba Inu reach 1 Cent by 2025? Chris Deluzio, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Pennsylvanias 17th Congressional District. Ohioans continue to rally behind incumbent Republican Gov. Aside from that, the main action at this hour will be in the House, with a close race in Washingtons 8th District and at least half a dozen in California. , Josh Shapiro, a Democrat, defeated Doug Mastriano, a Trump-backed election denier, in the race for Pennsylvanias governor. Nov. 8, 2022, In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. votes. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. By mail: Print, sign, and send this form to your county board of elections. Terra Luna Price Prediction 2023, 2025, and 2030. 2022 Polls: Ohio Senate Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster General Election Show: 10 All The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. As we get closer towards the election, we use a higher sample size, which allows our margin of error to become smaller.. State Sen. Darren Bailey, a Republican candidate for governor, speaks at a March for Life Chicago and Illinois Right to Life news conference at the Hilton Garden Inn in the South The video above is the Sunday, Oct. 30 episode of NBC4s political show The Spectrum with Colleen Marshall.. As for DeWines challengers, the Emerson poll shows Blystone, who has no political experience, with an 11-point advantage over Renacci, a five-term Congressman. Results were weighted by gender, age, education, race and region based on 2020 election turnout. With 56% of the vote compared with Whaleys 35.5%, DeWine continues to maintain his double-digit lead. Will Solana Recover? Between Feb. 25 and 26, Emerson College Polling surveyed 723 likely voters 313 for the Democratic primary and 410 for the Republican primary using text-to-web, an online panel and automated phone calls. Nov. 8, 2022, Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. Polls just closed in 19 states and Washington, D.C. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. We take a look at how many total terms and consecutive terms a Governor can serve across the country.. In person: You may obtain a voter registration form and register to vote in person at any of the following locations: Ohio Governor Solid Republican Last updated Nov. 3, 2022, 7:29 p.m. PDT Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter GOP Gov. "There are voters who choose not to . Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. Alicia Parlapiano , Gov. Maggie Astor , Katie Hobbs, an election official who stood up to allies of Donald Trump, beat his Republican pick for Arizonas governor, Kari Lake. , Raphael Warnock, Democrat, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. Google Search Share: Mike DeWine: 65%, Nan Whaley: 35% Social Media Sentiment: Mike Dewine: -27.2%, Nan Whaley: +20.9%CrowdwisdomLIVE Prediction: Considering all three data points, the incumbent Governor Mike DeWine is set to return as Governor of Ohio once again. MarketWatch provides the latest stock market, financial and business news. Jun 8, 2022. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike DeWine won re-election to a second term in a landslide, defeating Democrat nominee Nan Whaley, the former mayor of Dayton, 62.4% to 37.4%. Nov. 8, 2022, Six of the eight most competitive Senate races are in states that did not call a winner in the presidential race until after election night: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The Timess election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Kristen Bayrakdarian, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Vronique Brossier, Irineo Cabreros, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Lindsey Rogers Cook, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Avery Dews, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Lazaro Gamio, Martn Gonzlez Gmez, Will Houp, Jon Huang, Samuel Jacoby, Jason Kao, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Vivian Li, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Jaymin Patel, Marcus Payadue, Matt Ruby, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Jaime Tanner, James Thomas, Urvashi Uberoy, Ege Uz, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Marco Rubio, Republican of Florida, wins re-election to the U.S. Senate. Bone Price Prediction 2023-2030: Can Bone reach $100? . Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. [8][9][10] Incumbent governors rarely ever lose their primaries. White votes remain a large majority and its the same case in both parties primaries. Though the race to replace retiring Sen. Vance (46%) and Democrat Tim Ryan (45%) among registered voters statewide. Heres where we think votes remain. Mike DeWine", "Ohio Republican Party endorses Gov. Mike DeWine holds a big lead over Democrat Nan Whaley. The 2022 Ohio gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Ohio. GOP Rep. Mark Amodei looks safe for reelection after surviving his primary. We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. , Kim Schrier, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Washingtons Eighth Congressional District. Stacey Abrams has conceded to Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022, Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). Tonight, our election forecast will show live estimates for which party is favored to win control in the Senate and House. The Times estimates the share of votes reported and the number of remaining votes, based on historic turnout data and reporting from results providers. "Our members in Dayton have seen firsthand how, as Mayor of Dayton, Nan has championed the labor movement and advocated for all working families. Alicia Parlapiano The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. Election Day in Ohio is finally upon us. In fact, when Georgia's Governor Brian Kemp signed a bill in 2021 requiring voter ID and strengthening rules against bribery and electioneering at the polls, the President condemned the law as "Jim Crow on steroids." NYT Graphics Maggie Astor Both counties swung over 25 points in 2020 from 2012 when Obama won the state thanks to his margins in counties like these. Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. Wiley Nickel, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent North Carolinas 13th Congressional District. Mike DeWine, whom previous impartial polling pegged as the Republican frontrunner, continues his strong performance, per a late February survey by Emerson College pollsters in partnership with NBC4 and The Hill. , David Schweikert, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Arizonas First Congressional District. Initial polling showed Renacci in the lead; however his lead soon evaporated, as DeWine attempted to appeal to conservatives angry with his COVID response by attacking President Joe Biden's policies and signing Constitutional carry into law, allowing permitless carry of firearms. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. Lazaro Gamio Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. would yield results between these extremes: The margin of error is higher because youre dealing with such a small subset and were looking a couple of months out from the election, Emersons director of survey operations Isabel Holloway said. . Maggie Astor DeWine, with the support of 34% of likely voters surveyed, holds a 14-percentage-point lead over Canal Winchester farmer Joe Blystone (20%), former Congressman Jim Renacci (9%) and former state Rep. Ron Hood (<1%). Governor: Ohio Primary Results 8:43 PM EDT, Thu October 13, 2022 CNN projects that Republican Gov. Todays voting will decide the balance of power in Congress. Algorand Price Prediction 2023-2030: Will Algorand hit $100? Arizonas Senate race is a currently tossup, according to our estimates. Heres the state of the closest races: Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket makes the math slightly easier for a Republican upset. #OHSen #OHGov t.co/ucBf6Kf5Oc", "Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan won't run for U.S. Senate next year", "Jim Jordan won't run for Ohio US Senate seat in 2022", "Trump tweet further complicates Ohio Gov. . Nate Cohn 2022 Ohio Gubernatorial race: debates and news coverage. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. Andrew Fischer Maggie Astor In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. Our newest ratings and updates, Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. Lori Lightfoot becomes the first Chicago mayor in 40 years to lose re-election. Albert Sun The two are tied among those who say they will definitely vote in November's election. By Kyle Kondik In: 2022 Governor, 2022 Senate Posted June 2, 2022. Lazaro Gamio Campaign-sponsored polls, however, often inflate the sponsoring candidate's performance. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, a Democrat, won a runoff election to defeat Herschel Walker, a Trump-backed Republican and former football star. A poll sponsored by Whaleys campaign in mid-January gave her a 13-point lead with nearly half of voters still undecided. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire. The 2022 Elections in Ohio. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. Gov. Senator, three seats for the state supreme court and more this election . Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. In Ariz., Mont., Neb. Incumbent Republican Gov. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. election denier who marched to the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in the race to be Arizonas secretary of state. , In Nevadas race for governor, Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, beat Gov. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-ohio-governor.html. COLUMBUS, Ohio (WCMH) While the needle has barely budged in Ohios U.S. Senate race, the latest polling suggests a landslide in the gubernatorial contest. from 2022 OH Governor's race (number of quotes indicated): Jim Renacci (4) Ohio Republican candidate for Governor. For direct links to gubernatorial polling detail in each state, see this map . Beating all candidates, however, were undecided voters at 36%. Nate Cohn Mike DeWine", "Ex-state Rep. Ron Hood files to run for Ohio governor", "Gov. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. Ketia Daniel, founder of BHM Cleaning Co., is BestReviews cleaning expert. . Election Tools. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. Here Are 16 That. Elections for county executives in eight of Maryland's 23 counties and numerous local elections are also scheduled to take place in 2022. Select any location to view all polls and a polling average (where available) for that state. Ohio May primary election guide JD Vance - 24% Josh Mandel - 22% Matt Dolan - 18% Mike Gibbons - 14% Undecided - 11% Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling said, "Trump's. . Polkadot Price Prediction Today. , Republicans formally captured 218 House seats, a delayed yet consequential finish to the 2022 midterm elections. California, Michigan, Kentucky and Montana also have abortion referendums on the ballot. Ohio held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 8, 2022. . Analysis", "Conservative pastor seeking to unseat Gov. Arizonas closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting. ", "Emily's List endorses Nan Whaley in race for Ohio governor", "Matriots PAC endorses Nan Whaley in race for Ohio governor", "Ohio Democrats choose not to endorse for governor. Things have changed in this race since when I first rated it. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Compared to a June 2018 Ohio midterm poll, likely voters in the Buckeye state see their standard of living as having declined. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, theyll take control of the House. The 2022 Ohio gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Ohio.Incumbent Republican Governor Mike DeWine won re-election to a second term in a landslide, defeating Democrat nominee Nan Whaley, the former mayor of Dayton, 62.4% to 37.4%. Nov. 8, 2022, Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. UPDATED Jan. 10, 2023, at 10:23 AM Latest Polls Check out our. MULN Stock Forecast 2023: Can MULN Rise Above $0.30? For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. The filing deadline was February 2, 2022. Carey won by 16.6 points, a result within the polls 4.6-point error margin. Like the majority of independent polling in Ohio, economic issues remain the No. COLUMBUS, Ohio (WCMH) The Republican and Democratic races for Ohio governor show two starkly different primaries, according to a new independent poll commissioned by NBC4 and released Monday. Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens survived a member-versus-member primary in August likely the biggest obstacle to her reelection. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. Loading. Big Issues The economy, jobs, inflation, and taxes are the key issues concerning the Ohio voters. Latest Governor Polls. The survey of 1,776 likely voters shows J.D. Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state who has confronted repeated harassment from far-right election deniers, won re-election to her post in Michigan. In these midterms, New York is an unexpected battleground. Nvidia Stock Forecast 2023: Will NVIDIA Reach $1000? Nate Cohn Current Ohio Governor and Republican candidate Mike DeWine is significantly outpacing the former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley with an 18-point lead overall, BW CRI said. Nov. 9, 2022, More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. , Gov. Microsoft Stock Forecast 2023: Is MSFT a Safe Bet in 2023? One of the tightest governors races in the country is between Gov. (Screenshot/Trafalgar Group) The poll has a margin of. IE 11 is not supported. Crime spiked during her term, though she has repeatedly touted that it dropped year-over-year in 2022. Conflux Price Prediction 2023-30: Will CFX reach $100? His Republican challenger, Herschel Walker, is backed by Donald Trump. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Albert Sun Conducted from Wednesday to Saturday, a Cygnal survey of 1,510 likely voters in Ohio found Republican J.D. More than 200 Republicans who questioned or denied the 2020 election results have won in the midterms so far. GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a real threat to his reelection. Lazaro Gamio Elections. DeWine's 25-point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican Governor of Ohio since 1978 . Nov. 10, 2022, In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. What does that mean for John Cranley and Nan Whaley? Colorados Third District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump, according to our estimates. @SpectrumNews1OH t.co/6IoAatavzX", "Analysis: What Is Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley Up To? 1 concern driving voters to the ballot box. Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Mike DeWine explains why he won't issue mask mandate", "Blystone announces candidacy for Governor Pomeroy Daily Sentinel", "Former U.S. Rep. Jim Renacci announces run for Ohio governor; challenging Gov. Advertisement Coins. Atlas Forum Image Code for Maps: County; Data Sources: Source for Popular Vote data: Ohio Secretary of State. A native of Dayton, Ohio, Wilkinson has covered every Ohio governor's race since 1974 as well as 12 presidential nominating conventions. Mike DeWine speaks Jan. 21, 2022 in Newark, Ohio. , Brandon Williams, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 22nd Congressional District. Mike DeWine wants us to forget his COVID-19 lockdowns; here's why we won't", "Governor DeWine Issues Statewide Mask Order, Travel Warning", "Ohio Gov. State officials say that counting all of the votes may take several days. That means a candidate could theoretically lose or gain 9.6% or 11%, respectively, if the poll were done again. . NYT Graphics I intend to keep doing this job, run for reelection, and one day in the future, I intend to run for governor. , Gov. Incumbent Governor Mike DeWine (R) faces Democrat Nan Whaley, Mike DeWine will comfortably win the 2022 Ohio Gubernatorial election. Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. [1] DeWine's 25-point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican Governor of Ohio since 1978 has won re-election by a double digit margin. Mike DeWine's path to re-election in 2022", "Ohio AG Yost says he won't be running for Portman's Senate seat", "North Ridgeville mayor, local GOP leaders endorse DeWine/Husted campaign", "Summit County Republican Party chair endorses DeWine, Husted", "National Border Patrol Council endorses DeWine for re-election", "Columbiana County Republican party endorsements for state and local races", "Suburban Cincinnati county GOP endorses 'Trump candidate' rival over Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine will win reelection in Ohio", "OPINION: Gov. Alicia Parlapiano Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. Noah Rudnick, a Cygnal data scientist who fielded the poll, said in a news release that independent voters are really up for grabs when it comes to Ohios U.S. Senate race, as about 20% of independents who have yet to vote also remain undecided. Vance, the author and venture capitalist who is endorsed by Donald Trump, is competing with Representative Tim Ryan, a Democrat. Voters in Vermont decided in favor of including abortion protections in their state constitution. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. Nov. 8, 2022, If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. Wisconsins Senate race is leaning toward Senator Ron Johnson, his chambers most endangered Republican incumbent, according to our estimates.