Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. Kevin Yu ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel) Andy Lyons No matter the finishing position, you can Hes lost a combined 12.9 strokes/putting over his past two weight starts. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory McIlroy ($10,600 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title while No. Mayo: Emiliano Grillo (+270, DraftKings) The CJ Cup wasnt kind to Grillo, but now hes back at a happy place. This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the best mark since his victory in Memphis last year. Following the first round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Pierceson Coody is in 82nd position with a score of +2.In the Sports Scores and Odds Hub
One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. Strokes gained/approach is also incredibly valuableagain, only six other courses were more correlated to success. Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). In a memo to PGA Tour members sent to players Wednesday, PGA Tour Commissioner Jay Monahan made the news Aaron Wise ($9,200 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. You probably guessed that one of them was Tiger Woods, who did it an absurd six separate times, including two four-peats. It wont be all fun and games this week because PGA National is one of the toughest tests in all of golf. Play with trusted, licensed operators. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. Both of those weeks ended in a top 10 for Todd. The PGA Tour is headed to TPC Louisiana for the Zurich Classic, a team event where the format of play rotates between best ball and alternate shot. Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. 2023 Genesis Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Whats Wrong With Tom Kim? Poston. After seemingly making strides with his approach play in La Jolla and Phoenix, he took a few steps backlosing 2.90 strokes on approach at Riviera. The exciting thing for Bezuidenhout is his course history. Chris Kirk ($9,900 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). Look for these on Wednesday afternoons. It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. The Players Championship will be contested next week without its biggest draw. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. He just missed a massive 130-1 score last week when Hayden Buckley finished second at the Sony Open. Bay Hill also had the longest set of par-3 lengths on average in non-major courses last year. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Aaron Rai ($7,700 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). After debuting with a T17 in 2017, he piggybacked it with a T7 in 2018 and a T10 in 2019. Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. This event used to be one of, (Editors Note: Alex Noren withdrew from the Honda Classic after publication) The Honda Classic is a full-field event that features a 144-man starting list and, Were back with another edition of PGA DraftKings picks cheat sheets for the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. He gained 5.43 strokes on approach at the Fortinet Championship and again 7.03 at the CJ Cup. Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. Hes gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, something he hasnt done since the fall of 2017 when he was ranked inside the top 10 in the world. ): 1. He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make The pro-am event, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, has an average winning score of 24 under par over the past 10 years. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. After a dreadful few years, Tway is playing some of his best golf in recent memorymaking six of his last eight cuts. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. Six straight made cuts for the Belgian, including four finishes of 12th or better. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? Gehman: Brendon Todd (+500, Bet365) Todd has found magic with his irons twice already during this season. Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 The American Express field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our betting panel has cashed three straight outright winnersand now we have a consensus bet. Confidence is high for Ryder, who is playing the best golf of his life right now. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. His game looks close, finishing T-5 at the Zozo Championship and T-21 at the CJ Cup in his only two PGA Tour starts this season. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-zurich-classic-odds-field-pga-tour-bets-picks/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. Our experts are torn. Hes gained strokes with his putter in 12 straight starts so if he can strike it well again, hell be in line for a great finish. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. Lee +19000J.J. We can argue about how hampered he is, but he has some of the best tournament history in the field. 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Preview: Can Viktor Hovland Put It All Together? Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com. This season, Zalatoris ranks 28th in birdie percentage, while his partner, Riley, is tied for 23rd. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. The odds are a bit too long as a result. These DFS Golf cheat sheets will help you, The West Coast swing is already at an end as the PGA Tour moves to its seventh event of the season. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). It just doesnt need to. Millions in Winnings and Counting. All Rights Reserved. WebLatest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Shelton earned a T-20 at Pebble Beach, which marked his third top-20 finish in his past five starts. The mid-range approaches aren't Schauffele's strength he was 185th on tour from 150-175 yards last season. Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. He was T3 and only two strokes back entering the finale. Poston Repeat Last Years First-Round Heater? CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Back the 2017 Open Championship winner to triumph at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Torrey Pines South 5. PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. Play with friends. While Im happy for him, Im not buying it just yet. , I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in . Fitzpatrick has been candid about dealing with a neck injury over the course of the past few weeks. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. 2023 Honda Classic Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Alex Noren Fooling Everyone By Missing Cuts? section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Before this week's PGA Tour event, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 The American Express. Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? List is the most on-brand golfer on tour, rarely doing anything outside his DNA. Morikawa is fresh off a T-6 at Riviera where he gained 8.25 strokes from tee-to-green, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. Released Tuesday. Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. I worry about him losing five strokes on the putting surfaces, but his clubhead speed and newfound confidence can be a difference-maker this week. Hovland/Moriakawa (8.6 percent), 3. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. Hes been wildly inconsistent in each facet of his game, and this price is too much to stomach compared to his peers. He shot better than 71 once in the six rounds. World No. Hes played four times this yearmissing the cut in Phoenix but earning a runner-up, third place finish and T-6 in his three other starts. Theres plenty more where that came from. 2 Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm among the top names. Powers, Golf Digest: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) McNealy is on a streak of three consecutive top-20 finishes, but its all thanks to a scorching hot putter. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at and synopsis provided by Jason Rouslin. Rounds 1 and 3: Best ball From tee-to-green hes elite and now hes making massive gains with his putter. Sports Betting Legality Map
Bermuda: Russell Knox. Recent Form Cheatsheet: The entire fields current form, going back as far as 10 weeks, and synopsis provided by Jason Rousiln. Sam Ryder ($7,000 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,100 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). He played here last year and posted a very impressive 22nd-place finish on his first attempt here at El Camaleon. Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay, DraftKings Round 2 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Will Zalatoris. Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am First Round Leader Picks: Does Matthew NeSmith Still Own Pebble Beach? Despite the struggles, hes not that far off. Immaculate; inching back to peak levels. Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. His outright plays feature three major longshots who come in at more than 60-1. Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Corey Conners ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Honda Classic, Robby Shelton ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,700 FanDuel). Birdie percentage: Birdies are king this week. For live odds, visit BetMGM. After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. Day is elite in multiple metrics. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) I do worry about him coming in highly motivated after losing the No. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. Learn the game and know the odds. Im not really understanding why Henleys priced up here just below the elites. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering advanced metrics, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). Hennessey, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Im surprised were still getting 40-1 on Detry after his run of really good golf. This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. Odds provided byTipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports betting oddsfor a full list. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. McDonald also has been on the money on his matchup plays and cashed in huge on Brendan Steele (80-1) as the first-round leader at the Zozo Championship. 2023 American Express First Round Leader Picks: Can Davis Riley Start Hot? His short game has been tidy, gaining strokes around-the-green in five of his last seven starts while gaining strokes with his putter in seven straight. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. As Joel Beall of Golf Digest noted, the video compilation show Worlds Funniest Animals also aired on Saturday drew more viewers than LIV Golf did. How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting, and everything in-between? RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? RELATED: Worldwide Technology Championship DFS picks 2022: Scottie Schefflers glaring weakness. The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. Will Zalatoris ($9,400 DraftKings | $10,900 FanDuel). The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outright plays, including hitting Hudson Swafford (250-1) at last year's The American Express. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results may not reflect it, but he seems to be rounding back into form. 1, who has gone eighth-11th in his last two starts, seemingly out of nowhere. Overall, 23 of the games best 25 players will tee it up come Thursday. Palmer/Scheffler (5.4 percent). Alex Noren ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). Shane Lowry ($10,400 DraftKings | $11,800 FanDuel). Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Pereira enters the week with three straight top-30 finishes including a top 20 at the Valero Texas Open. The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Harris English ($8,400 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). The main feature at PGA National (and most Florida courses) is water! Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! Bay Hill will challenge golfers from tee to green and demand precision on and around the greens. Cantlay/Schauffele (8.9 percent), 2. Those who can avoid disaster and grind their way through 72 holes will give themselves a chance to hoist the trophy on Sunday night. Griffin rebounded from an MC at Pebble Beach by finishing T-21 last week in Florida. McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. Trinity Forest Golf Club, 3. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-picks-predictions-odds-field-top-pga-expert-says-back-scottie-scheffler-this-week | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | The Stokastic 2022-2023 NBA DFS Content Schedule, Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings & Underdog Fantasy, Jock MKT NBA DFS IPO Pricing/Projections FREE, Expert Golf Betting Tool | Prop Bet Projections, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results, Stokastics Camping World Series Projections, F1 DFS Projections for DraftKings Formula One Fantasy Racing, NASCAR Camping World Series Ownership Projections, NASCAR Top Drivers Tool Simulation Probabilities, How to Play DraftKings F1 DFS: Formula 1 Fantasy Racing Advice & How To Win Tournaments, CSGO Ownership Projections for DraftKings, The Stokastic Podcast Network Directory, Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Podcast All Sports, Betting U College Sports Betting Podcast, Sports Betting 101: Bet Types Part II (FREE). If he can just stop losing a billion strokes off the tee each week, hell become a popular play again. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Russell Knox (+750, DraftKings) Knox comes into this event ranked 18th in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week so its not surprising to see that he already has three top-10 finishes to his name here at El Camaleon. He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+550, FanDuel) Ill take the easy pick with Rahm this week. Shane Lowry (T-35, T-3, T-3), 3. Web12 of the Best PGA-Rated Golf Courses for Your Bucket List - SPY 1 week ago 1.